Market Focus Analysis:
Pulse Focus 1: Iranian senior officials stated they will shift from “comprehensive defense” to “comprehensive offense.”
Focus Interpretation: The market should not overinterpret this. Iran’s so-called “comprehensive offensive” is unlikely to bring significant changes in terms of tactics or effectiveness. A transition from defensive counterattacks to proactive offensives can also be described as a “comprehensive offensive.” Moreover, such a statement may be interpreted as “revealing their bottom line,” awaiting reactions from the U.S. and the three parties involved.
Asset Reminder: London gold has fallen toward the 4300 level. Yesterday we noted that volatility might widen. Continue monitoring the 4300–4380 range today.
Plugin Case Examples
Gold: After breaking below 4350 overnight, prices continued falling to around 4320. Today’s focus is whether prices can hold above 4350 and trigger a rebound. If not, it is likely that liquidity near 4310 will need to be cleared before any rebound signal emerges.
(Gold 15-minute chart)
Nasdaq: Prices broke below 29750 overnight but have since gradually stabilized. However, to participate in a potential rebound, wait for prices to re-break above 29600 and then retest the level for confirmation before considering a buy.
(Nasdaq 15-minute chart)
Crude Oil: Prices have remained sideways around 85 over the past two days. There is currently no clear direction; we are waiting for fundamental developments. Today, our focus is on whether prices can break below the current range, creating an opportunity to sell on a pullback.
(Crude oil 15-minute chart)
