Market Focus Analysis:
Pulse Focus 1: U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen published an article in the Financial Times stating that the United States is launching an “economic Normandy landings” against Iran, aiming to sever the economic lifelines sustaining the Iranian regime through an unprecedented financial offensive.
Focus Interpretation: We believe the U.S.-Iran conflict has now reached near its peak in terms of military friction. The introduction of stronger economic sanctions by the U.S. may temporarily reduce the incentive for further military escalation. Negotiations on the Strait 2.0 agreement could enter a temporary “balance” phase. Markets have already shown some fatigue toward news of accidental conflict.
Asset Reminder: London gold advanced further this morning, breaking above 4,600 and reaching as high as 4,650. This week, our main concern is that Yellen might adopt a more dovish tone at the central bank’s annual meeting, potentially pushing gold prices toward 4,800. Therefore, we recommend closely monitoring bullish signals during the first half of the week.
Plugin Case Examples
Gold: After breaking above the blue zone without retracement, prices moved directly above the 4,600 level. Today, we continue to monitor the sustainability of momentum. If the upward move persists, consider entering long positions via buy stops. Meanwhile, keep an eye on short-term liquidity sweeps around the yellow zone near 4,600.
(Gold 15-minute chart)
Nasdaq: Prices remain in a liquidity sweep just above 29,000. For today, we place a buy order after a low sweep near 29,000. However, if momentum shows signs of breaking above the blue zone, we will set a buy limit within the blue zone once prices reach 29,380.
(Nasdaq 15-minute chart)
Crude Oil: Although prices faced resistance near 90 and briefly broke below the recent 2–3 day range, momentum signals remain unclear. We recommend maintaining a cautious,观望 (watchful) stance.
(Crude Oil 15-minute chart)
